21-22

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Wed Dec 22, 2021

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p>In the mountains around Cooke City wind blew the previous day's snow (1-2 feet) into drifts. Some of these cracked (<a href="https://mtavalanche.com/images/21/cracking-drift-scotch-bonnet"><strong…;) which showed their potential to avalanche. Today the wind is still blowing yet loading is minimal. On Sunday and Monday, Dave hunted for weak snow and did not find much. He even titled his video “<a href="https://youtu.be/QOBIciPigDY"><strong><u>Good News from Cooke City</u></strong></a>”. His main concern was wind-loaded slopes and a weak(er) layer of sugary, faceted snow near the bottom of the snowpack. Avalanches are still possible as evidenced by a natural avalanche on a wind-loaded slope on Sheep Mountain (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/21/natural-avalanche-sheep-mountain"…;) yesterday. These dangers are isolated, but concerning nonetheless. Avoid wind-loaded terrain and be on the hunt for buried weak layers. For today, the avalanche danger is rated MODERATE on all slopes.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The southern Gallatin and southern Madison Ranges along with Lionhead have a suspect snowpack structure (dense snow being held up by weaker, sugary facets). In our stability tests we are finding this interface sometimes breaks. At Lionhead on Monday, it fractured in one of our two pits (<a href="https://youtu.be/7EEn6f8-4fA"><strong><u>video</u></strong></a&gt;).&nbsp; Other red flags of instability include widespread collapsing, or “whumpfs”, from <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/25215"><strong><u>skiers in Specimen Creek</u></strong></a> in a thin snowpack (less than 2 feet deep), and an avalanche a week ago in <a href="https://mtavalanche.com/images/21/avalanche-bacon-rind-photo-15-dec-202… Rind</u></strong></a>. The potential to trigger slides is not widespread, but areas with weak snow near the ground, or slopes that have a thick load of wind-drifted snow require extra caution. Today, the avalanche danger is rated MODERATE on all slopes.</p>

<p>In the mountains around Bozeman to Big Sky the snowpack is mostly stable, with the exception of wind-drifts. Snowfall since Sunday (less than a foot) was blown into drifts from strong westerly wind. Loading has generally stopped, yet the instability lingers. Ian and his partner rode Buck Ridge and found the snowpack was adequately supporting recent snowfall (<a href="https://youtu.be/cf-qqv2Ssjw"><strong><u>video</u></strong></a&gt;). During times of decreasing avalanche danger it’s easy to be complacent, so I’m recommending you do as we do: always carry rescue gear, dig and assess slopes you plan on hitting, and only travel one-at a time in avalanche terrain (any slope greater than 30 degrees). And if you want to be really pro, carry an inclinometer in your pocket. Today the avalanche danger is rated MODERATE on wind-loaded slopes and LOW on all others.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p>

<p>If you get out, please send us your observations no matter how brief. You can submit them via our <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/add/snow_observation"><strong><u>websi…;, email (<a href="mailto:mtavalanche@gmail.com"><strong><u>mtavalanche@gmail.com</u></str…;), phone (406-587-6984), or Instagram (#gnfacobs).</p>

Upcoming Education Opportunities:

Get your avalanche brain ready for the season at one of the many classes listed on our education calendar, and list of upcoming events below. 

Every Saturday near Cooke City, 10 a.m.-3 p.m. FREE snowpack update and transceiver/rescue training. Stop by for 20 minutes or more at the Round Lake Warming Hut.

Friends of GNFAC Powder Blast Fundraiser

Natural Avalanche on Sheep Mountain

Sheep Mountain
Cooke City
Code
SS-N-R2-D2-O
Elevation
10200
Aspect
NE
Latitude
45.07240
Longitude
-109.92600
Notes

From Beartooth Powder Guides: Saw this small natural avalanche today while coming back from the yurt. While being small on the relativity scale, it seems to have broke fairly deep.

Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Soft slab avalanche
Trigger
Natural trigger
R size
2
D size
2
Bed Surface
O - Old snow
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year

Whumpfing in Specimen Creek

Specimen Creek
Southern Gallatin
Code
AS
Elevation
7800
Aspect
E
Latitude
45.02830
Longitude
-111.07100
Notes

ECTP 8 @ 15cm 7800' E. on Specimen Ridge. LOC: Fist hard basal faces below a decomposing crust about 10cm off the ground Lots of whomping on lee and sheltered slopes. We noticed a few pinwheels at later in day below 7500'. Generally poor structure and poor strength. I don't know what SWAG notation for sagebrush is but lots of that...

Number of slides
0
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Trigger
Skier
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Red Flag
Advisory Year