20-21

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Sat Dec 12, 2020

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p>The snowpack around Bozeman, Big Sky, and West Yellowstone is shallow and weak. Total snow depths in the mountains generally range from 1-2 ft. Weeks of high pressure have gradually weakened this shallow snowpack (<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FBsCjnx1G-s"><strong><u>Lionhead video</u></strong></a>, <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3HbIdWEuo1o&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvQDzKmH… video</u></strong></a>). Once a slab builds above this weak foundation, the snowpack will rapidly become unstable (<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NDfD3-tTguk"><strong><u>Saddle Peak video</u></strong></a>, <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4quJW8upKQg"><strong><u>Buck Ridge video</u></strong></a>). Last night’s few inches of low density new snow with light winds didn’t build a significant slab on most slopes. However, keep your eyes open for isolated drifts of new snow deeper than 6-8”. If you find one of these drifts, evaluate the snowpack carefully or just steer clear.</p>

<p>With such a weak foundation, expect the avalanche danger to rise as snow totals creep up in the coming days.&nbsp;</p>

<p>For today, avalanches are unlikely and the avalanche danger is LOW.</p>

<p>The snowpack around Cooke City is deeper and generally not as weak as in the rest of the advisory area. Total snow depths range from 2-4 ft. This deeper snowpack was able to handle the weeks of high pressure without weakening as much. However, we have found some pockets of weak, sugary snow lower in the snowpack and there have been a few reports of buried surface hoar, so we’re not totally in the clear going forward (<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xj-qhUPJigw"><strong><u>video</u></stro…;). As with the rest of the advisory area, yesterday’s new snow wasn’t enough to build much of a new slab. With a more solid foundation, the avalanche danger won’t spike as quickly as more new snow accumulates over the coming days.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The avalanche danger is LOW today.</p>

<p>If you get out, please send us your observations no matter how brief. You can submit them via our <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/add/snow_observation"><strong><u>websi…;, email (<a href="mailto:mtavalanche@gmail.com"><strong><u>mtavalanche@gmail.com</u></str…;), phone (406-587-6984), or Instagram (#gnfacobs).</p>

Upcoming Avalanche Education and Events

See our education calendar for an up to date list of all local classes. Here are a few select upcoming events and opportunities to check out:

Full depth facet sluffs in S. Madison

SOUTHERN MADISON RANGE
Southern Madison
Code
L-ASc-R2-D1.5-G
Elevation
9000
Aspect
E
Latitude
44.98130
Longitude
-111.22100
Notes

From IG post: "Weak and thin snowpack. A little sluff was all it took to entrain the whole season’s snowpack. S. Madison ~9000’ east facing" 

Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Loose-snow avalanche
Trigger
Skier
Trigger Modifier
c-A controlled or intentional release by the indicated trigger
R size
2
D size
1.5
Bed Surface
G - Ground
Problem Type
Persistent Weak Layer
Slab Thickness
10.0 inches
Slab Width
10.00ft
Slab Thickness units
inches
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year